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HomeEconomics News2:00PM Water Cooler 6/13/2022 | bare capitalism

2:00PM Water Cooler 6/13/2022 | bare capitalism


By Lambert Strether of Corrente

Affected person readers, there’s so much happening, and I received wrapped around the axle on Covid, the place there was so much happening. I’m going to interrupt my rule and beef up the Politics part a bit of. –lambert UPDATE Completed!

Chicken Track of the Day

Nice Rufous Sparrow. Erongo, Namibia. I’m persevering with on with sparrows as a result of there are various species and their calls are completely different! And in case you are sparrow followers, please go away ideas in feedback!

“Sparrow ID Guides from Macaulay Library and Chicken Academy” [The Cornell Lab of Ornithology]. Free downloads. “Sparrows are a problem to birders of all ability ranges as a result of they’re usually skulky and onerous to see. At first they appear like boring brown birds, however whenever you get an excellent look, they present stunning and complex patterns on their feathers. As a result of many species are onerous to see, they’re wanted by avid listers and people who recognize the fantastic thing about birds. Whether or not you’re at house or out within the discipline, these useful four-sheet sparrow reference guides have full-color photographs of jap, central, western and widespread sparrows.”

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Politics

“However what’s authorities itself, however the biggest of all reflections on human nature?” –James Madison, Federalist 51

“They’d discovered nothing, and forgotten nothing.” –Charles Maurice de Talleyrand-Périgord

“When the going will get bizarre, the bizarre flip professional.” –Hunter Thompson

Capitol Seizure

“Right here’s what ‘riot,’ ‘coup’ and ‘sedition’ imply” [CNN]. “, or insurrection, is against the law below Title 18 of the US Code, punishable by a effective, a most sentence of 10 years in jail, or each. Being discovered responsible of riot additionally makes somebody ineligible to carry workplace in america…. Synonyms embody ‘revolt’ or ‘rebellion,’ in line with Merriam-Webster.” Rebellion, topic to correction by these educated within the statutes, is on the dimensions of the South seceding; unlawful parading hardly qualifies. It might be, in fact, that being “ineligible to carry workplace” caught the attention of Democrats. “Just like riot, the act of sedition can be against the law below the US Code, which characterizes it as two or extra individuals who conspire to overthrow the US authorities, or “forestall, hinder, or delay the execution” of US regulation by power. It’s punishable by a effective and as much as 20 years in jail.” Attempting to halt the electoral faculty rely would, in my studying, qualify; I’d speculate that’s why the Proud Boys had been charged with this. “A ‘coup,’ shorthand for ‘coup d’état,’ is broadly characterised by Merriam-Webster as a ‘sudden decisive train of power in politics,’ however notably the ‘violent overthrow or alteration of an present authorities by a small group.’” The broad characterization is, to my thoughts, too broad; certainly any riot would qualify? For the tighter definition: I hate to maintain quibbling on “violence,” however to date, solely two rioters had been charged with it. Furher, there was no coup. I await the chain of causality for “tried coup.” Alternatively:

if solely they might have discovered an image of a kid! (Garza at left has each purpose to mourn; the purpose is the exploitation.)

UPDATE “Dad who took Accomplice flag into Capitol on trial with son” [ABC News]. “Extensively printed images confirmed Kevin Seefried carrying a Accomplice battle flag contained in the Capitol after he entered the constructing along with his son, Hunter. The Seefrieds had been ‘early, aggressive and lively individuals’ within the Capitol breach and among the many first rioters to enter the constructing on Jan. 6, 2021, prosecutors have mentioned…. The fees in opposition to each Kevin and Hunter Seefried embody a felony rely of obstruction of an official continuing, the joint session of Congress for certifying Joe Biden’s victory over then-President Donald Trump within the 2020 presidential election.” I might file that below riot, however apparently the prosecutors disagree. Extra: “Throughout the trial’s opening statements, protection attorneys mentioned the Seefrieds by no means meant to intrude with the Electoral School vote rely. ‘Certainly, (Kevin Seefried) was not even conscious that the electoral rely was taking place or was taking place within the Capitol,’ one in every of his attorneys, Elizabeth Mullin, advised the choose.” However this, to me, is the necessary half: “‘,’ prosecutors wrote.” • Legalism apart, Howard Dean, 2003: “Howard Dean’s rivals for the Democratic nomination roundly attacked him on Saturday for telling an Iowa newspaper he needed ‘to be the candidate for guys with Accomplice flags of their pickup vans’ in defending his opposition to some gun management laws.” Dean, in different phrases, needed to enchantment to the voters Clinton would later classify as “deplorables.” And from 2003 to 2020, we’ve ended up classifying the voters Dean needed to enchantment to as “home enemies,” as Thompson did in his opening assertion and the prosecutor does right here. Not good for the important indicators of “our democracy.” Not good in any respect.

“Trump advisers advised him repeatedly election was misplaced, says January 6 committee” [Financial Times]. “In among the most damning testimony about Trump’s way of thinking following the election, Barr advised the committee: ‘I assumed, ‘boy, if he actually believes these items he has turn into indifferent from actuality’.’ • It’s superb to me that Trump, who’s to say the least risky, is holding on to “election theft” like grim dying. Why? (I view your entire political class as indifferent from actuality, so Trump’s joined a giant membership.) It’s a tragedy on a world-historical scale that Trump’s’ idée fixe didn’t turn into how the “deep state” (in his locution) destroyed his Presidency. That might have been politically fashionable, have had the advantage of approximating the reality, and may need affected Ukraine coverage in a non-cray cray method. I’m wondering why Trump shrank from it.

Origin story for the “Huge Lie”?

There are such a lot of different “Huge Lies” about it actually takes chutzpah for the Democrats to, er, approprate it.

UPDATE “On Jan. 6 probe, Kevin McCarthy’s technique did him no favors” [MSNBC]. “Pelosi provided [House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy] a chance to have three far-right Republicans take part on this investigation. He as a substitute selected to have zero. As chess strikes go, this didn’t precisely place the GOP for achievement. For one factor, the committee ended up being bipartisan anyway: Democrats prolonged invites to Wyoming’s Liz Cheney and Illinois’ Adam Kinzinger, each of whom agreed to serve, regardless of the ostracizing results of their resolution. For one more, McCarthy’s resolution has left the remainder of the Republican convention utterly at midnight. Forward of tonight’s listening to, the GOP doesn’t know what the committee has, can’t put together competent defenses for Trump, can’t affect the course of the investigation, can’t ask opposite questions throughout public or non-public proceedings, can’t leak something, and might’t dilute the panel’s findings prematurely of a remaining report that’s anticipated in September.”

UPDATE “Citation of the Day: After Hearings, a Tenuous Path to Indict Trump” [New York Times]. “‘That’s a hill that no federal prosecutor has tried to climb, prosecuting a former president. It’s very fraught. It’s a large endeavor as an investigation, as a trial, as a nationwide saga and trauma.’ John Q. Barette, a former affiliate impartial counsel within the Iran-contra investigation.”• If the hearings finish with a Benghazi-like yarn diagram, a number of legislative ideas, and a video appropriate for clipping within the midterms, that might be a humid squib certainly. I’m completely completely satisfied to induce Trump be indicted if there’s a principle of the case. I don’t assume Cheney’s seven steps makes it Maybe we’ll hear extra.

UDPATE “The Jan. 6 Committee Hosted A Listening to For The twenty first Century” [FiveThirtyEight]. The deck: “Congress has lastly pivoted to video.” And how’d the pivot to video work out, when Zuckerberg deked the media into doing it? The press has the reminiscence of a fruit fly. “The video — which included pictures recorded by individuals within the assault, safety footage, information footage, audio recordings from police radio communication and police body-camera recordings — tracked the evolution of the violence on that day, from an agitated crowd gathering on the outskirts of the Capitol, by way of the bloody, forceful invasion of the constructing. A lot of the footage was uncooked and performed at size; the violence was visceral. In a single clip, a first-person view from a fallen U.S. Capitol Police officer’s physique digital camera, you possibly can see the mob bearing down, beating the officer mercilessly.” • Unlawful parading: 208. Violence: 2. These are the figures the Democrat video is designed to obscure. I haven’t had time to observe it, but when I did, I might be there’s a whole lot of tight focus, and little or no large angle. That’s as a result of large angle reveals scale and context. Readers, has anybody seen it?

Biden Administration

“Brookings president resigns after being accused of secretly lobbying for Qatar” [Responsible Statecraft]. “Allen — the previous commander of NATO and allied forces in Afghanistan — had allegedly obstructed the investigation into his lobbying actions, offered a ‘false model of occasions’ to federal brokers, and used his Brookings e mail account to conduct secret lobbying work on the top of an financial embargo in opposition to Qatar by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.” • Shocked, shocked. Neera Tanden sucked up money from the UAE, and she or he’s now within the West Wing. So who took Allen down? Allen is outwardly a Kaganite, and Gonzalo Lira speculates the Obama faction took him down as a warning shot to Biden on Ukraine coverage. (And what different faction? The left [snicker]? The Clintonites?) Dunno. I observe the involvement of the Saudis. And though DoD tends to not play these video games, I’m wondering in the event that they wish to be taught.

UPDATE “Biden’s Energy Dealer: How Susan Rice Defied Critics and Created a White Home Coverage Fiefdom” [Politico]. “As director of the Home Coverage Council, Rice leads a crew of roughly a dozen staffers inspecting methods to push by way of modest gun reforms ought to Congress once more falter, and discover new govt orders even when lawmakers succeed. Her ascendence to the function of level particular person on weapons marks the most recent chunk of coverage turf over which she has claimed jurisdiction, becoming a member of a sprawling portfolio that stretches from policing and racial justice to scholar mortgage debt, immigration and well being care coverage, together with a primary piece of defending abortion rights. The scope of her fiefdom is as exceptional as how she managed to safe it. Having eschewed a public-facing function, Rice has relied on a mixture of inside maneuvering and bureaucratic know-how to put herself on the nerve middle of among the fiercest debates roiling Washington. And she or he’s additional cemented her standing with the president within the course of…. Senior aides say Biden’s belief in her is so profound that she will be able to see him each time she must.” • Neera should be fuming. And Rice is doing an excellent job on Covid, Medicare, and naturally a debt jubilee. Actually, you couldn’t ask for extra! (Apparently, the article doesn’t point out anti-trust, one of many few areas the place the Biden Administration appears to be doing the suitable factor.)

2022

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UPDATE AK: “Palin, Begich and Gross seem set to advance to Alaska U.S. Home runoff as fourth-place hopefuls look ahead to up to date outcomes” [Anchorage Daily News]. 48 candidates on the poll! “Quite a few candidates and political operatives spent late Saturday and Sunday attempting to make sense of the numbers and deduce which hopefuls might come from behind and advance to the final election. However most accepted that they’ve to attend for extra readability till Wednesday, when the Alaska Division of Elections plans its subsequent rely…. The highest 4 candidates from the first will advance to a ranked-choice basic election in August — held on the identical day and poll because the common main election for the complete two-year time period in Congress. The highest 4 in that main advance to the ranked-choice basic election in November. Begich, Palin and Gross had been all in a position to proceed their campaigns Sunday with relative confidence that they’ll have a slot in August’s particular basic election.” • RCV?!

UPDATE AK: “Sarah Palin will advance in Alaska’s wild Home particular main election, CNN initiatives” [CNN]. “Palin launched her marketing campaign with an almost-immediate endorsement from former President Donald Trump, who mentioned he was repaying her for her early help of his 2016 presidential bid. She held a rally in Anchorage in early June that Trump referred to as into. However she has been a comparatively quiet presence on the marketing campaign path and has not made clear how she sees herself becoming into immediately’s GOP in Washington.”

UPDATE CA: “One other anemic election turnout. Why most individuals don’t vote, and what to do about it” [Los Angeles Times]. “Votes in Tuesday’s main are nonetheless being counted, however to nobody’s shock, the overwhelming majority of voters sat out the election for L.A. mayor, council seats and numerous county, state and congressional races. Statewide, the numbers had been about the identical primarily based on early indications. Not traditionally low, however nothing to cheer about. So why does this maintain taking place, even because it turns into simpler to vote than to order a pizza, and at the same time as festering points similar to homelessness drive demand for fixes?” • The reporter lastly tracks down anyone who’s thinking about politics, and it seems they based an NGO….

PA: “‘Comes Throughout as a Cult Man’: The Pennsylvania Candidate Freaking Out Each the Left and the Proper” [Politico]. “A state senator little identified till lately exterior of his conservative, south-central Pennsylvania district (he was the fourth-place finisher in a 2018 Home main), Mastriano’s victory within the Republican main for governor final month disgusted Democrats and panicked establishment-minded Republicans. To them, he represented a structural risk to democracy, objectionable primarily for selling Donald Trump’s lie that the 2020 election was rigged. Lots of Mastriano’s supporters admire him for that very same purpose. They too, stay dedicated to Trump’s election falsehoods, and so they cheered Mastriano’s protests of Covid restrictions within the state. However Mastriano’s enchantment will not be strictly — and even principally — secular. When he introduced his candidacy, at an hourslong occasion in January, a person launched as ‘Pastor Don’ blew a shofar and mentioned ‘the presence of God is thick on this place.’ Mastriano’s spouse, Rebecca, learn from a psalm. Mastriano advised his supporters they had been a part of a brand new technology of leaders ‘raised up’ by God. And when folks on the patriotic, flag-dotted occasions he participated in on Memorial Day weekend stopped to speak about him, they fell into non secular language rapidly, too: ‘I’m a Christian, and I believe we want extra of that,’ one in every of them advised me. ‘He represents the restoration of non secular liberty,’ one other mentioned. ‘Prayer,’ a 3rd particular person mentioned, ‘can assist him win.’”

2024

“Donald Trump has turn into extra fashionable because the January 6 Capitol assault” [CNN]. “Analysts like me remarked over and over throughout Trump’s time in workplace that he was one in every of, if not essentially the most unpopular presidents. He left workplace with the bottom approval ranking of any president on the finish of his first time period (39%) and the very best disapproval ranking (58%) thanks partly to a late swoon following the occasions of January 6, 2021. At this time, Trump’s polling place with People general is one in every of his greatest, and he stays the front-runner for the 2024 Republican nomination. The previous President’s favorable ranking stands at 43% with an unfavorable ranking of 52%. That makes for a internet favorability ranking of -9 factors — not notably excessive, however then Trump was by no means notably fashionable.

He averaged a internet approval ranking throughout his presidency of -12 factors. A 3-point leap in internet recognition might not seem to be a lot, however his present internet favorability ranking is increased than 86% of his internet approval rankings throughout his presidency. If nothing else, it’s 10 factors increased than his internet approval ranking on the finish of his time in workplace. In 2024 matchups in opposition to President Joe Biden, Trump is working some extent or two forward of Biden, on common. It wouldn’t be notably spectacular for many politicians to be main, throughout the margin of error, a President with a low-40s approval ranking. However being barely forward or tied with Biden would have been a revelation for Trump in 2020. He managed to guide in solely about 1% of all nationwide polls taken in 2020 — and in none that met CNN’s requirements for publication. In uncooked numbers, Trump’s been forward in additional polls in opposition to Biden over the previous few months than he was for the whole thing of 2020.”

Democrats en Déshabillé

I’ve moved my standing remarks on the Democrat Get together (“the Democrat Get together is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated publish, to which I’ll periodically add materials, summarizing the addition right here in a “stay” Water Cooler. (Hopefully, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Get together is, the truth is, a tough drawback. I do assume the paragraph that follows is on level all the way in which again to 2016, if not earlier than:

The Democrat Get together is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined by Thomas Frank in Hear, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Get together didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “class expatriates,” in fact.) Second, all of the working components of the Get together reinforce one another. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Get together (ka-ching, however not solely) these components comprise a community — a Flex Web? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.

Word, in fact, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed by different lessons; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘industrial mannequin’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the working class spring to thoughts. Suck up, kick down.

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Realignment and Legitimacy

UPDATE “Unlearning the Language of ‘Wokeness’” [Sam Adler-Bell, New York Magazine]. “I’ve needed to unlearn most of the methods of talking I cultivated as a scholar radical with a purpose to be extra convincing and compelling off campus. The duty to talk to non-radicals, the unconverted, is the duty of all radicals, and it’s a ability that isn’t solely undervalued however maybe hindered by a left-wing college training. Studying by way of participation in collective battle how the language of socialism, feminism, and racial justice sound, learn how to communicate them legibly to not like audiences, and the way others categorical their experiences of exploitation, oppression, and exclusion — that’s our process. It’s fairly completely different from studying to speak about socialism in a neighborhood of graduate college students and professors.” • Numerous dunking on Adler-Bell for this text, however this passage appears clearly right.

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“Gentle respiratory COVID may cause multi-lineage neural cell and myelin dysregulation” [Cell]. From the Abstract: “COVID survivors continuously expertise lingering neurological signs that resemble most cancers therapy-related cognitive impairment, a syndrome for which white-matter microglial reactivity and consequent neural dysregulation is central…. These findings illustrate related neuropathophysiology after most cancers remedy and respiratory SARS-CoV-2 an infection which can contribute to cognitive impairment following even gentle COVID.” • Submitting this right here so you possibly can take into consideration mind harm each time you see one in every of our elites saying they’d a “gentle” case.

#COVID19

“College Masking Insurance policies and Secondary SARS-CoV-2 Transmission” [Pediatrics]. n = 1,112,899 college students and 157,069 workers. What This Paper Provides: “Inside-school (secondary) transmission was modest (common masking was related to a 72% discount in secondary transmission in contrast with elective masking.”

• Good concept:

I’m so previous I keep in mind when MeetUps sparked the Howard Dean marketing campaign! And the hyperlink above is likely to be helpful to them. (If any readers discover one in every of these Meetups, please report!

Right here is one other matter for the Meetups to share:

Once more, folks stepping as much as do what the general public well being institution won’t do.

Alert reader Pat stories on a bus journey on the MTA in New York:

Occasions of bus journey: folks largely if inadequately masked and I used to be drained sufficient to not be instantly engaged. Household advised there was a masks requirement finds they misplaced a masks, as I’m giving them a spare maskI have a gentleman who had his masks below his chin and was consuming advised them it wasn’t a requirement anymore. I chime in to say the rule has not been rescinded in NY and for them personal security they need to regardless. Gentleman claims if it existed the bus driver would have masks to offer them. I level out that the MTA ran out of courtesy masks through the lockdown, and there was by no means a requirement for them to produce them. He disagreed. Lady pipes up that Covid doesn’t exist. I right that, declaring that the state simply dropped the alert from excessive to the Orange stage. No one is getting it. Has me responding that I had it within the final month. Consuming man says masks don’t do something. I level out that there are a number of research displaying {that a} effectively fitted N95 that apart from being positive you don’t infect anybody it will increase the time you could be in an space with the aerosols with out publicity considerably. Lady who denies existence brings up protecting N95s for surgical procedure, what they’re for. Consuming man goes you possibly can’t imagine something they let you know. I inform him the research I’m citing are largely from different nations at which level he grudgingly admits that “they” is likely to be actual. I clarify the effectively fitted caveat to him. One other gentleman has had sufficient, loses it and begins screaming for the bus driver to reopen the again doorways that had simply shut after letting out a few passengers. That ends the masks dialogue for a bit, however I do find yourself explaining to at least one member of the household that stress will get to folks and that upset gentleman was not violent simply loud and frightened. Consuming gentleman after a time asks me if I’ve a tough time inhaling my masks. I clarify that it isn’t as straightforward as none however that this fashion masks retains the masks from being instantly on my mouth or nostrils and that helps and that my allergy symptoms additionally imply I swap between nostril and mouth respiration with out enthusiastic about it so I don’t discover it suffocating. He talks about how he has a tough time inhaling his unwell fitted surgical masks and has to tug it beneath his nostril. I now not have a spare so I can’t actually give him one to strive, however counsel he get a extra structured masks. Sadly I believe the N95 would finish below his nostril. Or as with the household hanging from one ear. By the point everybody leaves, folks on the bus who had been correctly masked to start out nonetheless are, those that needed to get one out or be advised are in numerous masking for present modes. It was tiring, upsetting and unproductive though not scary. Nevertheless it was very a lot indicative that folks don’t belief the federal government they assume referred to as wolf which has now mentioned by no means thoughts AND they need it to be over so are ignoring or actively rejecting info that claims in any other case.

Clearly, it is a failure of scientific communication by the general public well being institution on the dimensions of social homicide. (I imply, does the US know learn how to do propaganda? Does the US know learn how to do advertising? In fact we do. None of it was executed on this case, and so the sector was left to “freedom” loons (sorry, I must be reaching out, however I’m out of endurance with the ideology). I additionally want to thank Pat for his or her efforts.

• In the meantime, on the grassroots stage, persons are nonetheless constructing Corsi packing containers:

• Endorsement:

In fact, 3M is completely satisfied to promote duct tape. At this level, is that so mistaken?

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If you happen to missed it, right here’s a publish on my queasiness with CDC numbers, particularly case rely, which I (nonetheless) take into account most necessary, regardless of what Walensky’s psychos at CDC who invented “neighborhood ranges” assume. However these are the numbers we have now.

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Case rely by United States areas:

Degree. Keep in mind that circumstances are undercounted, one supply saying by an element of six, Gottlieb pondering we solely decide up one in seven or eight.) Therefore, I take the case rely and multiply it by six to approximate the true stage of circumstances, and draw the blue “Biden Line” at that time. Yesterday, the rely was 108,500. At this time, it’s 107,700, and 108,500 * 6 = a Biden line at 646,200. At the very least we have now affirmation that the extraordinary mass of case anecdotes had a foundation in actuality. (Bear in mind these knowledge factors are weekly averages, so every day fluctuations are smoothed out.) The black “Fauci Line” is a counter to triumphalism, because it compares present ranges to previous crises.

Listed here are circumstances for the final 4 weeks:

Degree.

And in the South:

(US Census area: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and West Virginia.)

(Miami-Dade County, inhabitants 2.706 million; Palm Seashore County, inhabitants 1.482 million.)

From the Walgreen’s take a look at positivity tracker:

Down 1.9%. This tracker fiddles and diddles at peaks, but in addition not at peaks. (I’m leaving the company emblem on as a slap to and examine on the goons at CDC.)

• “2,050 new circumstances, 7 deaths in Bay State” [Boston Herald]. “In additional welcome information, the Covid-19 wastewater tracker — which has proved to be a powerful main indicator displaying jumps and reduces earlier than different knowledge picks it up — has lately dipped considerably, displaying ranges just like mid-April across the Boston space. Specialists advised the Herald this week that these are encouraging tendencies, in the event that they maintain up.” • Breakthrough to the mainstream!

MWRA wastewater knowledge:

Each South and North down.

The Massachusetts Water Assets Authority (MWRA) service space contains 43 municipalities in and round Boston, together with not solely a number of college programs however a number of massive universities. Since Boston is so very education-heavy, then, I believe it might be an excellent main indicator for Covid unfold in faculties typically.

Circumstances lag wastewater knowledge.

From Biobot Analytics:

Word that BA.4 and BA.5 are growing within the South (as of Might 18). I checked CDC, they’re not replace both (from Might 21).

Right here’s the Biobot knowledge for Florida:

It appears that evidently Florida’s case rely ought to shortly go up, not least as a result of in this Southern state there appears to be no BA.4/5 (but).

Extra on Florida:

• “How are you going to monitor the COVID development in Florida? You could have choices to watch well being danger” [Miami Herald]. “At first months of the pandemic in 2020, the Florida Division of Well being launched every day figures on the state’s case and dying counts. Nevertheless, the division now solely stories this knowledge to the general public as soon as each two weeks, though it sends updates to the CDC on a near-daily foundation.” • Gad. What sort of sense does that make? Anyhow, a number of monitoring info right here for Florida residents.

From CDC Group Profile Stories (PDFs), “Fast Riser” counties:

Established order.

The earlier launch:

NOTE I shall most actually not be utilizing the CDC’s new “Group Degree” metric. As a result of CDC has mixed a number one indicator (circumstances) with a lagging one (hospitalization) their new metric is a poor warning signal of a surge, and a poor option to assess private danger. As well as, Covid is a illness you don’t wish to get. Even in case you are not hospitalized, you possibly can endure from Lengthy Covid, vascular points, and neurological points. For these causes, case counts — identified to be underestimated, resulting from house take a look at kits — deserve to face alone as a quantity to be tracked, regardless of how a lot the political operatives in CDC management want to obfuscate it. That the “inexperienced map” (which Topol calls a “capitulation” and a “deception”) continues to be up and being taken critically verges on the felony. Use the neighborhood transmission instantly beneath.

Right here is CDC’s interactive map by county set to neighborhood transmission. That is the map CDC desires solely hospitals to have a look at, not you:

Good job, CDC. Possibly altering the colours on the “Group Ranges” web page broke their website:

Hospitalization (CDC Group Profile):

Very risky.

Dying charge (Our World in Information):

Whole: 1,035,847 1,035,320. I’ve added an anti-triumphalist Fauci Line.

Covid circumstances in high us journey locations (Statista):

Word the standard of those numbers varies wildly. For instance, the UK is chopping again on testing knowledge.

Stats Watch

Inflation: “United States Client Inflation Expectations” [Trading Economics]. “US shopper inflation expectations for the yr forward rose to six.6% in Might of 2022 from 6.3% in April, matching a file hit in March. After declining sharply final month, the year-ahead anticipated change within the value of gasoline rose barely to five.5%.”

* * *

The Bezzle: “Crypto Debacle at Celsius Rattles Market Already Shaken by Terra” [Bloomberg]. “A month after the implosion of the Terra stablecoin despatched the crypto market reeling, one other disaster is inflicting contemporary angst throughout your entire digital-asset universe. Celsius Community Ltd., one of many greatest lenders in crypto and a key participant on this planet of decentralized finance, mentioned late Sunday that it was pausing withdrawals, swaps and transfers following weeks of hypothesis over its skill to make good on the outsize returns it provided on sure of its merchandise, together with yields as excessive as 17%.” Oh. Extra: “.” • Wait. That jogs my memory of one thing…

The Bezzle: “Crypto Platforms Are Halting Withdrawals as Bitcoin Tanks Over 13%” [Gizmodo]. “The Celsius crypto community has halted all buying and selling, together with withdrawals, in line with a press launch from the corporate launched in a single day…. One other main cryptocurrency change platforms adopted go well with Monday. Binance halted withdrawals for Bitcoin because the cryptocurrency’s worth tanked, claiming in a tweet the stoppage was ‘resulting from a caught transaction inflicting a backlog.’ Oh. Extra: “Celsius, which claims to have 1.7 million customers, permits folks to commerce main cryptocurrencies like bitcoin (down 13.2% over the previous 24 hours) and ethereum (down 17%), all whereas promising extremely excessive returns for individuals who had been holding (HODLing, locally parlance), with the service.” However wait! Theres extra: “[Celsius] phrases of use permit Celsius to halt all buying and selling, as they’ve already executed. Additionally they explicitly say that if Celsius goes bankrupt, you won’t get entry to any of your cash ever once more, one thing that U.S. shoppers at conventional banks don’t have to fret about due to the FDIC.” • Pesky regulators!

The Bezzle:

The Bezzle: “Tesla vehicles concerned in 16 crashes with emergency autos, regulators say” [CBS]. “Paperwork posted Thursday by the company elevate some critical points about Tesla’s Autopilot system. The company discovered that it’s being utilized in areas the place its capabilities are restricted, and that many drivers aren’t taking motion to keep away from crashes regardless of warnings from the car…. Within the majority of the 16 crashes, the Teslas issued ahead collision alerts to the drivers simply earlier than affect. Automated emergency braking intervened to a minimum of gradual the vehicles in about half the circumstances. On common, Autopilot gave up management of the Teslas lower than a second earlier than the crash, NHTSA paperwork mentioned.” • One second might not be sufficient to keep away from the crash, however is it sufficient to keep away from legal responsibility?

* * *

At this time’s Worry & Greed Index: 18 Excessive Worry (earlier shut: 28 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 29 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Jun 13 at 1:20 PM EDT.

Rapture Index: Closes up one on Curiosity Charges. “Charges are being pushed up by increased inflation” [Rapture Ready]. File Excessive, October 10, 2016: 189. Present: 188. (Keep in mind that bringing on the Rapture is good.)

The Gallery

This isn’t a photograph:

This isn’t the colour of my, however oddly, my goals have turn into way more vivid and sophisticated since Covid started. Undecided why that is, and I’m wondering if it’s common.

Information of the Wired

I’m not feeling wired immediately. Possibly tomorrow!

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Contact info for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are effective! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you need your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it at the beginning of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:

TH writes: “So this particular person’s yard is sort of as random and busy as ours, however not fairly. It is likely to be the lights that place it within the ‘charming’ class for me, to not point out that they’re proper throughout the road from the ocean! (Redondo Seashore, California) Yep, sorry there’s a bit an excessive amount of sky—it was a mobile phone pic and it didn’t happen to me to edit it earlier than importing it to Flickr and deleting it from the telephone.” I’m leaving the sky in as a result of it’s so California.

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Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not lined by the lately concluded and — thanks! — profitable annual NC fundraiser. So when you see a hyperlink you particularly like, or an merchandise you wouldn’t see anyplace else, please don’t hesitate to precise your appreciation in tangible kind. Bear in mind, a tip jar is for tipping! Common constructive suggestions each makes me really feel good and lets me know I’m heading in the right direction with protection. Once I get no donations for 5 or ten days I get frightened. Extra tangibly, a relentless trickle of donations helps me with bills, and I consider that trickle when setting fundraising targets:

Right here is the display that may seem, which I’ve helpfully annotated:

If you happen to hate PayPal, you possibly can e mail me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I offers you instructions on learn how to ship a examine. Thanks!

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